Arbitrum Price Prediction – ARB Could Test $0.05 if $0.072 Support Fails

Highlights:

• Arbitrum drops as investors lose hope on the CLARITY Act and hawkish Fed expectations pressure cryptocurrency sentiment.
• Declining trading volume suggests ARB holders are not panic-selling despite intraday correction.
• Losing $0.072 could send Arbitrum to $0.05, while stronger momentum may send it to $0.10.

Arbitrum is in the red today, a reflection of weakness across the market in the last 24 hours. When writing, Arbitrum was trading at $0.076, down 4% intraday. However, the intraday correction has not led to a spike in trading volumes, which are down 1.71% to stand at $40.46 million. The drop in volumes indicates that the average Arbitrum holder is not selling the intraday dip. It also points to low short seller participation among retail traders. 

Both of these indicate that while the price is going down, investors believe it is short-term, and that long-term Arbitrum could be headed higher. Despite the confidence, there are multiple indicators pointing to Arbitrum potentially facing more downside in the short term.

CLARITY Act Delay Could Send Arbitrum Price Lower

One of them is the diminishing hopes of the CLARITY Act passing. Recently, there has been significant optimism that the CLARITY Act could pass. However, the odds are dropping after disagreements over ethics. On betting markets, the odds have already dropped from over 70% to around 27%. This is a significant hit to the market given that most of the recent gains were driven by expectations around the CLARITY Act.

If the odds of the CLARITY Act becoming reality this year diminish further, the market could turn heavily bearish again. For Arbitrum, this could mean a further crash in the short term. This is especially true because Arbitrum has performed well in recent weeks, and profit-taking could add to selling pressure in the short term.

🚨 BREAKING:

🇺🇸 US SENATE MAY NOT PASS THE CRYPTO CLARITY ACT THIS YEAR

ODDS HAVE JUST DROPPED TO RECORD LOW, BELOW 27%

REPUBLICANS AND DEMOCRATS CAN'T FIND A COMPROMISE ON THE FINAL TEXT

THIS IS NOT GOOD FOR MARKETS… pic.twitter.com/lRKA59RWEj

— ᴛʀᴀᴄᴇʀ (@DeFiTracer) July 31, 2026

Hawkish Fed Could Add to Arbitrum Weakness Short Term

The interest rate environment also does not favor Arbitrum in the short-term. In the latest FOMC, Kevin Warsh noted that they had decided to hold rates steady. However, from the speech, it was clear that they would not hesitate to hike rates in the event that inflation keeps rising.

With oil prices remaining elevated due to the ongoing conflict in the Middle East, such a possibility is not off the table. As such, the market could keep pushing lower until the next policy decision in September. For Arbitrum and other altcoins that are highly sensitive to macro factors, the price could push lower going into the foreseeable future.

BREAKING:

Everyone's celebrating the Fed "holding rates."
Nobody's reading what markets priced in right after.

A 60-77% chance of a hike in September.
Fully priced for December.

Three FOMC members already voted to hike. This meeting.
The most hawkish split since 2016.

Here's… https://t.co/pRUro5eRGz pic.twitter.com/iESAJR0fLj

— Crypto Tice (@CryptoTice_) July 31, 2026

Arbitrum Positioning In RWA Could Trigger a Long-Term Rally

However, there is a scenario where Arbitrum rallies in the short term. A key factor that could drive such a rally is the growing integration of traditional finance with the cryptocurrency market. Arbitrum is one of the top platforms well-positioned within this segment of the market for trading stocks, commodities, and other real-world assets. 

Arbitrum has also unlocked new revenue streams that could add to its value long-term. All these value drivers come at a time when Arbitrum is at a multi-year low relative to its last all-time highs. As such, if the broader market starts to rebound, Arbitrum could be headed much higher in the short to medium term. Overall, while the intraday sentiment is bearish, the long-term outlook for Arbitrum is bullish. 

As of 30 July, 2026, Extended has 101 RWA markets live, one of the broadest RWA offerings among perpetual DEXs.

Extended is building for both RWA listings and liquidity at scale, supporting:
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Technical Analysis – Arbitrum Price Trending Towards Key Support

Arbitrum is currently trending towards a key multi-week support at $0.072. If bears are strong enough to push Arbitrum through the $0.072 support, a correction to prices as low as $0.05 could follow.

However, if bulls retake momentum and, with high volumes, a rally to $0.10 could follow. There is also the scenario where a drop in volumes could keep Arbitrum consolidating around $0.05 in the short term. Of these scenarios, a correction to $0,05 is more likely. That’s because of the caution taking grip across the financial markets as inflation remains a sticky issue in the US.