Highlights:
- Hayes predicts political memecoins will reshape U.S. elections and challenge established political brands.
- TRUMP memecoin could outperform Bitcoin as crypto sentiment improves, says Arthur Hayes.
- Hayes argues memecoins offer real-time political insights, reshaping campaigns and public opinion.
In his recent blog post, former BitMEX CEO Arthur Hayes predicted that memecoins would reshape U.S. politics, becoming powerful tools for political advertising. He believes the 2026 elections will see a wave of new political brands backed by memecoins and will successfully challenge long-standing incumbents.
Hayes Predicts TRUMP Memecoin Could Outperform Bitcoin as Hype Grows
Hayes believes Trump’s memecoin could outperform Bitcoin if crypto sentiment improves and politicians embrace meme tokens to strengthen their brands.
He wrote:
“$TRUMP is down roughly 80% from its high, and Bitcoin has not retaken $110,000 (the level it reached at the height of $TRUMP mania). I believe that if crypto sentiment is improving, $TRUMP will lead Bitcoin. If some policy that those in the political know believe will positively impact crypto, $TRUMP will surge well before the positive news is announced, and then Bitcoin will follow”.
The TRUMP token, introduced during Donald Trump’s inauguration, has gained massive attention. It now ranks as the fourth-largest memecoin, trailing Dogecoin (DOGE), Shiba Inu (SHIB), and Pepe Coin (PEPE). After Hayes’ statement, TRUMP saw a 12.02% rise, reaching $18.92.

Arthur Hayes warned that a Trump memecoin crash could hurt retail investors and slow crypto adoption. He said memecoin volatility is normal in crypto, unlike stocks controlled by banks and governments. Hayes urged Trump to focus on pro-crypto policies instead of a memecoin. He believes memecoins empower people against corruption and disrupt traditional campaign funding.
Hayes Sees Political Memecoins Reshaping Elections
Arthur Hayes said political memecoins would reshape campaigns. They offer real-time public sentiment, boost engagement, and onboard millions into Web3. He emphasized that memecoins provide a unique way to measure political popularity. Unlike traditional polls, they reflect genuine support, as people can buy tokens privately. This removes social pressure and gives politicians real-time insights into public opinion.
Platforms like Polymarket already show the power of crypto in politics. Users can bet on election outcomes, revealing real-time sentiment. However, governments have cracked down on such platforms to control narratives. France even banned polymarkets to prevent the tracking of public opinion in real time.
Hayes said political memecoins have three key advantages. They are globally accessible, easy to understand, and impossible to ban. As blockchain adoption grows, these tokens could redefine political influence. They may become a powerful force in future elections.
Arthur Hayes predicted that Xi Jinping, leader of the Chinese Communist Party, may eventually launch his own memecoin. He believes Xi will use it to showcase his popularity to the public.
Crypto Bull Predicts TRUMP Token Could Double—Strong Buy Opportunity Below $16
Adding to the bullish outlook, crypto analyst Crypto Bull sees strong potential for TRUMP. He recently called buying TRUMP below $16 a strong opportunity, predicting its price could double. His optimism fuels growing excitement around the token as political and market trends shift.
$TRUMP is printing a golden cross in 4hr tf , this is the first time its forming after it got listed on Binance 🤝
Time to send it much higher, presidents day is approaching and eveything is aligned for it 🚀 pic.twitter.com/NcTvKLJoCz
— Crypto Bull 🐂 ( Until 5th Sep 2025 ) (@holdersignals) February 13, 2025
Meanwhile, Bitcoin is struggling to break past $100K. Recently, Hayes warned it could drop to $70,000 due to liquidity issues. While Bitcoin faces uncertainty, the TRUMP memecoin is gaining attention with its sudden surge.
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