Highlights:
- Toncoin is in a bullish reversal and is pushing towards $5 intra-day
- Rally triggered by a rebound across the market after days of selloffs
- Toncoin could retest $6 if the $5.13 resistance gives way
Toncoin (TON) has experienced significant price fluctuations recently, driven primarily by external developments surrounding Telegram. The arrest of Telegram’s founder in France sparked a wave of uncertainty that weighed heavily on Toncoin, triggering a sharp correction.
However, Toncoin has since entered a recovery phase. When going to press, Toncoin had rebounded by 5.16%, trading at $4.98. This bounce back also mirrors a broader market rebound after prolonged market-wide corrections.
Technical Analysis – TON In a Bullish Reversal
Looking at the price, Toncoin is sending strong bullish signals, indicating that the worst of the correction may be over. The charts suggest that Toncoin is in a bullish reversal, and if this momentum sustains, the next critical level to watch in the short term is the $5.13 resistance. This price level represents a critical barrier determining whether Toncoin’s recovery will become a more sustained rally.
If Toncoin bulls break above the $5.13 resistance, the next potential target could be $6.90. A move to this level would represent a substantial rally that could be accelerated by broader market factors, particularly movements in Bitcoin.
Bitcoin Factor and Macro Market Outlook
One macroeconomic factor that could accelerate Bitcoin’s rise is the possibility of interest rate cuts in the US market. With inflation appearing to ease and the Federal Reserve considering rate reductions, a more favorable monetary environment could further boost Bitcoin and, by extension, the broader cryptocurrency market. In this scenario, Toncoin could benefit from a market-wide rally and potentially see prices as high as $10 in the short term.
Pricing Glitch Did Not Affect Sentiment
Toncoin’s bullish sentiment is further reinforced by its resilience during a recent glitch on CoinMarketCap. The platform erroneously displayed Toncoin’s price as $0.31, a figure drastically below its actual value. Despite this error, investor confidence remained intact, and Toncoin’s price stability was unaffected. This event highlights the strong conviction among Toncoin investors, who largely ignored the temporary pricing mishap.
🤕Cryptocurrency exchange rate sites (Coinmarketcap) show the Toncoin rate at 94% below the market.
❗️On exchanges,TON is traded above $5. pic.twitter.com/qHAoT1Odk8
— Crypto NewsLetter (@Crypto_Newslett) September 3, 2024
Bearish Scenario – A Retest of Lows
While the current outlook for Toncoin is generally optimistic, it is essential to consider the potential for a bearish scenario. If bulls fail to break through the $5.13 resistance level, the bears could regain control and push Toncoin back toward its recent low of $4.48. A retest of this level would put Toncoin at risk of further downside, possibly a correction below $4.
Conclusion – A Bright Near-Term Future?
Overall, the near-term future looks promising for Toncoin. After enduring a sharp correction, Toncoin seems to have bottomed out and is now recovering. The bullish signals from the broader market and Toncoin’s technical indicators point to a rally above $6. This scenario would be reinforced if Bitcoin continues its upward momentum. However, investors should remain cautious and keep an eye on critical levels, particularly the $5.13 resistance and the $4.48 support, to assess the sustainability of the current rally.