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Solana Price Headed for Breakout as Coinbase Files for SOL Futures

Highlights:

  • Solana is range-bound but trending toward critical resistance at $245.25
  • A rally through $245.25 could see SOL price rally to $260 in the short-term
  • The excitement around Coinbase Solana futures could trigger a bullish rally

Like the rest of the market, Solana (SOL) is having a slow day. At the time of going to press, Solana was up marginally by 0.44% to trade at $241.24. However, trading volumes have dropped sharply in the day. They are down by 39.44% to stand at $3.78 billion.

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This indicates that most investors are waiting on the sidelines for Solana to show clear direction. Despite the lack of intra-day action, Solana’s fundamentals are getting better. This is an indicator of the potential Solana holds once momentum returns to the cryptocurrency market.

Solana Futures on Coinbase Could Trigger FOMO Buying

One of the factors that points to Solana’s improving fundamentals is the possible launch of SOL products for institutional players in the US. The latest news hitting the market is that Coinbase is introducing futures contracts for Solana and Hedera.

According to a recent filing with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), the exchange is seeking to list these derivatives as early as February 18, 2024. This step highlights Coinbase’s ongoing efforts to broaden its financial offerings and meet the growing demand for crypto-based investment tools.

CME Another Big Player Seeking to List SOL Futures

This development comes at a time when the crypto derivatives market is experiencing significant growth. Earlier this year, the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) inadvertently hinted at potential Solana and XRP futures listings. However, the exchange later clarified that no final decision had been made. Coinbase’s proactive approach positions it as a key competitor in this rapidly evolving space. It could also trigger a wave of FOMO in Solana.

Solana Could Benefit from Improved Regulatory Environment In the US

The timing of Coinbase’s filing is noteworthy, as it follows a period of increased regulatory clarity and growing institutional interest in cryptocurrencies. The crypto-friendly policies of the current U.S. administration have also played a role in fostering innovation within the industry. However, challenges remain, including ongoing regulatory scrutiny and legal disputes. Solana could particularly take a hit if Pump.fun is taken down.

Investor Caution Needed as Solana Meme Coin Factory Faces Legal Pushback

Pump.fun, a Solana-based platform for creating memecoins, is currently facing a class-action lawsuit. The lawsuit alleges that it facilitated the creation and promotion of unregistered securities. The lawsuit, filed in a New York federal court, claims that Pump.fun’s operations led to significant losses for retail investors. This legal battle could see a drop in the number of meme coins launching on Solana, a big deal given that meme coins are the biggest volume drivers for Solana.

However, with the potential for Solana ETFs and Futures to soon become a reality, the meme coin aspect may have little impact on Solana’s price. Besides, Solana’s core metrics, especially its ability to scale, could see more solid projects continue to shift to Solana. This is already evident in the charts where Solana appears to be headed for a major price breakout.

Technical Analysis – SOL Range Bound But Headed for Bullish Breakout

According to the charts, Solana is currently consolidating between $245.25 resistance and $229.57 support. However, momentum is more to the upside, as bulls push the price towards the $245.25 resistance. If bulls succeed in pushing Solana through the $245.25 resistance, then a rally to $260 could follow

SOL
Source: TradingView

On the flip side, if volumes remain low, Solana could remain in a range going into the weekend. Of the two scenarios, the odds are higher for a SOL rally through the $245.25 resistance. That’s because of the Coinbase futures news, which could see more investors start to take positions in Solana. That’s in anticipation of a possible price pump.

Recap

Overall, Solana’s fundamentals point to a potential bullish breakout in the foreseeable future. Coinbase’s move to seek a Solana futures listing is bound to trigger excitement among investors. This, and the fact that Bitcoin, a key market mover, also looks primed for a breakout, is big for Solana. In the short term, investors will be eyeing a breach of the $254.25 resistance. In the long term, SOL could be headed to prices above $300.

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