Peter Schiff Warns Bigger Bitcoin Selloffs, Analysts Predict Longer Market Downturn

Highlights:

• Big Bitcoin sale by long-term holders pushed prices below $85,000.
• Peter Schiff said selling by early holders could cause bigger future drops.
• Lyn Alden and Matt Hougan said the downturn may last longer, driven by broader market factors, not only the four-year cycle.

A wave of large Bitcoin exits over the past two months has created a sharp debate across the crypto market. Heavy outflows from long-term holders have pushed selling pressure to levels not seen since earlier phases of the current cycle. Price weakness under $85,000 in October came shortly after more than 400,000 BTC left wallets linked to holders with long histories in the market.

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Peter Schiff Warns Bitcoin Selloffs Could Worsen as Early Holders Exit

People paid attention to Peter Schiff’s comments. On Saturday, he said Bitcoin is “finally having its IPO moment.” This means early holders can now sell their coins more easily, like how a company lets first investors sell shares when it goes public. He added that “this much Bitcoin moving from strong to weak hands” could add more supply and make future selloffs bigger.

Some argue that after all these years Bitcoin is finally having its IPO moment now that there’s enough liquidity for the OGs to cash out. I agree, but this much Bitcoin moving from strong to weak hands not only increases the float, but also means future selloffs will be bigger.

— Peter Schiff (@PeterSchiff) November 22, 2025

Selling pressure increased as early participants exited. Owen Gunden, one of the first buyers, sold all his Bitcoin in October and November. He offloaded 11,000 BTC, worth about $1.3 billion. This added to concerns about more supply entering the market.

Robert Kiyosaki also sold his Bitcoin. He sold all coins worth about $2.25 million. He had bought nearly $6,000 and sold around $90,000. He said he will use gains for income-generating businesses. Despite selling, he stayed positive. He plans to buy more Bitcoin with his cash flow.

PRACTICING WHAT I TEACH:

I sold $2.25 million in Bitcoin for approximately $90,000.

I purchased the Bitcoin for $6,000
a coin years ago.

With the cash from Bitcoin I am purchasing two surgery centers and investing in a Bill Board business.

I estimate my $2.25 million…

— Robert Kiyosaki (@theRealKiyosaki) November 21, 2025

Analysts Say Bitcoin Downturn May Last Longer

Macro analyst Lyn Alden pushed back against claims of an imminent major crash. During an episode of the What Bitcoin Did podcast, she said, “We haven’t hit euphoric levels in this cycle; therefore, there is less reason to expect a major capitulation.” Her comments challenged the recurring idea that a sharp market drop is inevitable. 

Alden added that the cycle could last longer than expected. She said the trend is driven by broader market conditions and Bitcoin selloffs, not by the halving. Her comments challenge the idea that the four-year pattern always controls Bitcoin’s price. Alden also noted that market results rarely reach the extremes investors imagine. She explained that outcomes are usually neither as strong nor as weak as people expect.

The sentiment reflects remarks from other crypto executives. Bitwise chief investment officer Matt Hougan recently dismissed the four-year cycle theory. He said the market is likely to continue “for a good few years,” indicating a longer-term outlook beyond the traditional patterns.

This view comes as Bitcoin has been on a downward trend since reaching new all-time highs of $125,100 on October 5. The price dropped to around $80,700 on Thursday and then recovered slightly to $86,010 at the time of publication, according to CoinMarketCap.

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