Highlights:
- The Fed paper suggests taxing or banning Bitcoin to address government budget deficits.
- Bitcoin’s fixed supply disrupts traditional fiscal policies, creating a “balanced budget trap.”
- Critics argue the report aligns with the ECB’s negative stance on Bitcoin.
The October 17 research paper from the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of Minneapolis suggests that crypto assets like Bitcoin (BTC) may need to be taxed or banned to help governments maintain a permanent budget deficit. The paper argues that Bitcoin creates a “balanced budget trap,” which forces governments to balance their budgets.
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The researchers cited Bitcoin as an example of a fixed-supply “private-sector security” that lacks “real resource claims.” It acts as an alternative financial asset that challenges conventional economic practices. They said taxing Bitcoin or enforcing a complete ban would be necessary to address this issue.
A primary deficit occurs when a government’s expenditures increase from its revenue, except the interest payments on existing debt. The paper emphasizes the idea of a “permanent” primary deficit. This suggests that governments plan to sustain this pattern of outspending indefinitely.
The U.S. national debt has now reached $35.7 trillion. The primary deficit currently stands at $1.8 trillion. Much of this deficit is due to rising interest costs on Treasury debt. These costs jumped 29% to $1.13 trillion this year, driven by increasing interest rates and growing debt levels, according to a Reuters report from October 19. The paper has received significant criticism from Bitcoin advocates.
Federal Reserve Bank’s Paper Faces Criticism
Matthew Sigel, head of digital asset research at VanEck, stated that the Minneapolis Fed is now reflecting the European Central Bank’s (ECB) critical view of Bitcoin. He remarked that the paper fantasizes about implementing legal prohibitions and additional taxes on Bitcoin to ensure government debt remains the only “risk-free” security.
On October 21, Matthew Sigel, head of digital asset research at VanEck, commented on the paper. He stated that the Minneapolis Fed has aligned itself with the European Central Bank in its criticism of Bitcoin, adding that it “Fantasizes about ‘legal prohibition’ and extra taxes on BTC to ensure government debt remains the ‘only risk-free security.”
🚨Minneapolis Fed Joins ECB With #Bitcoin Attack 🚨
New Paper Claims Governments Can Run Permanent Deficits if Consumers Don't Notice & Adopt New Money Like BTC.
Fantasizes About "Legal Prohibition" & Extra Taxes on BTC to Ensure Govt Debt Remains "Only Risk Free Security" https://t.co/IMOqZbYce0 pic.twitter.com/quRthS6Znl
— matthew sigel, recovering CFA (@matthew_sigel) October 20, 2024
Fed’s Report Mirrors European Central Bank’s Call to Ban Bitcoin
A recent ECB paper indicates early Bitcoin investors benefit from newer entrants. The report claims that Bitcoin’s limited supply allows early buyers to profit while exploiting new investors. It argues that this system fosters inequality in the market. To address this issue, the authors propose implementing strict price controls on Bitcoin.
Economists at the European Central Bank have warned in a new report that the continued rise in Bitcoin prices would lead to a redistribution of social wealth, ultimately impoverishing most members of society and concentrating wealth in the hands of a few early holders, and that…
— Wu Blockchain (@WuBlockchain) October 20, 2024
Alternatively, they suggest banning cryptocurrency to prevent what they view as an unfair transfer of wealth. The ECB report raises concerns about Bitcoin’s connection to criminal activity. It references studies that suggest that cryptocurrency is often used in illegal transactions.
ECB’s paper reads:
“Current non-holders should realize they have compelling reasons to oppose Bitcoin and advocate for legislation against it, aiming to prevent Bitcoin prices from rising or to see Bitcoin disappear altogether.”
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