Highlights:
- ECB officials claim Bitcoin’s rise shifts wealth from latecomers to early adopters.
- The report encourages non-holders to support legislation against Bitcoin to safeguard their wealth.
- Celebrities endorse Bitcoin, promoting it mainly as an investment rather than a currency.
According to a recent analysis by European Central Bank (ECB) officials Ulrich Bindseil and Jürgen Schaff, late adopters of Bitcoin and non-holders have valid reasons to oppose it. They may also advocate for legislation to protect themselves from its negative effects on wealth redistribution.
Economists at the European Central Bank have warned in a new report that the continued rise in Bitcoin prices would lead to a redistribution of social wealth, ultimately impoverishing most members of society and concentrating wealth in the hands of a few early holders, and that…
— Wu Blockchain (@WuBlockchain) October 20, 2024
Bitcoin’s Shift from Payment System to Investment Asset
In their Oct. 12 paper, the economists argue that Satoshi Nakamoto’s original vision of Bitcoin as a global payment system has largely failed. Instead, it has primarily become an investment asset. They argue that BTC does not generate cash flow like real estate, interest like bonds, or dividends like stocks. It also cannot be used productively like commodities.
The authors noted that most traditional methods for determining an asset’s fair value do not work for Bitcoin. Instead of viewing Bitcoin as a traditional asset, the paper suggests that celebrities and thought leaders promote it as an investment. Figures like BlackRock CEO Larry Fink, Galaxy Digital founder Mike Novogratz, athlete Tom Brady, and actors Gwyneth Paltrow and Ashton Kutcher endorse Bitcoin’s potential for perpetual growth.
Since Bitcoin does not enhance the economy’s productive potential, the authors see it as a zero-sum game. In this scenario, early adopters benefit exclusively at the expense of late adopters and non-holders.
The paper states that early Bitcoin investors’ new Lamborghinis, Rolexes, villas, and equity portfolios don’t come from increased economic production. Instead, they are funded by the declining wealth and consumption of those who don’t hold Bitcoin. Missing out on Bitcoin is not just a lost chance to gain wealth; it leads to real financial hardship compared to a world without Bitcoin.
This shift in wealth and purchasing power could have harmful effects on society. The paper argues that these harmful effects include “a corresponding impoverishment of the rest of society, jeopardizing cohesion, stability, and ultimately democracy.”
The paper read:
“In any case current non-holders should realize that they have compelling reasons to oppose Bitcoin and advocate for legislation against it, aiming to prevent Bitcoin prices from rising or to see Bitcoin disappear altogether. Latecomers and non-holders and their political representatives should emphasize that the idea of Bitcoin as an investment relies on redistribution at their expense.”
ECB Analysts Criticize Presidential Candidates’ Perspectives on Bitcoin
The paper also examines the current presidential candidates’ attitudes toward Bitcoin. It notes that former President Trump has promoted Bitcoin, especially during his speech at the Bitcoin 2024 conference. However, Trump fails to explain what benefits Bitcoin provides to society that would justify its rising valuation.
ECB Paper Sparks Backlash and Concerns Over Bitcoin’s Future
The ECB encountered social backlash as soon as the paper was released. Wall Street veteran Max Keiser condemned the paper for falsely representing Bitcoin’s original purpose.
The @ecb makes a rookie mistake by claiming Bitcoin originated as a payment means. This is false. The word ‘Cash’ in the White Paper refers to money, as in Gold, not fiat currency. Bitcoin has always been digital Gold.
Satoshi makes this clear in subsequent posts & messages. pic.twitter.com/qEMhoNDWpE
— Max Keiser (@maxkeiser) October 19, 2024
Blockstream advisor Tuur Demeester, who initially highlighted the paper, views it as “a true declaration of war.” He believes authorities will use the paper to justify imposing harsh taxes or bans on Bitcoin. Demeester warns that the paper could have significant consequences for Bitcoin and its supporters. He urges holders to take action to protect individuals’ rights to own Bitcoin.
1/ This new paper is a true declaration of war: the ECB claims that early #bitcoin adopters steal economic value from latecomers. I strongly believe authorities will use this luddite argument to enact harsh taxes or bans. Check 🧵 for why: pic.twitter.com/qg31YenTSC
— Tuur Demeester (@TuurDemeester) October 19, 2024