Ethereum Price Prediction: ETH Could Rally to $4k if Key Resistance is Broken

Highlights:

Ethereum has been directionless for the last 24 hours
Rangebound trading is mainly due to Bitcoin’s price action
A bullish breakout could come soon, especially if Bitcoin pushes through $68k

Ethereum has experienced minimal movement over the past 24 hours, similar to the broader cryptocurrency market. At the time of writing, Ethereum is trading slightly down by 0.33%, to trade at $3320.24. Such rangebound days often precede significant price movements. Ethereum price is gearing up for a potential breakout driven by internal fundamentals and the influence of Bitcoin’s price action.

Market Overview

The entire crypto market closely watches Bitcoin, often setting the tone for other cryptocurrencies. Currently, Bitcoin is range-bound after a failed breakout attempt on July 29. However, it is pushing towards the $68,184 resistance level. With strong whale buying activity and anticipation of a rate cut by the US Federal Reserve in September, Bitcoin could soon rally to $70,000. Such a move would likely uplift Ethereum alongside it.

ETF Inflows and Market Sentiment

Besides the potential boost from Bitcoin, Ethereum is seeing positive developments in its ecosystem. After several days of outflows driven by Grayscale, Ethereum ETFs have turned positive. This shift could indicate that Grayscale is running out of Ethereum, and renewed inflows into Ethereum ETFs could positively impact the price. If this trend continues, it could drive Ether’s price higher in the short term, allowing it to outperform Bitcoin as the 2024/25 bull run takes shape.

Spot Ethereum ETF netflows are finally turning positive.

Grayscale's ETH ETF sellers are starting to run out of coins. pic.twitter.com/EpK1DxFXMW

— The DeFi Investor 🔎 (@TheDeFinvestor) July 31, 2024

Analyst Insights – A Bullish Perspective on Ethereum Price

Analysts are drawing parallels between the current situation with Ethereum and the earlier period this year when Bitcoin ETFs launched.

An analyst known as Profit Demon tweeted:

“Ethereum showing similar patterns to $BTC January ETF approval Local dump occurring as users migrate from Grayscale to cheaper $ETH funds Expect consolidation at local lows followed by a pump New ATH might be closer than expected.”

This analysis suggests that Ethereum is following a similar pattern to Bitcoin’s ETF launch earlier this year, which saw significant price movements. As users migrate from Grayscale to cheaper Ethereum funds, a local consolidation followed by a price pump could be imminent.

Technical Analysis – Ethereum Range Bound Amid Broader Market Calm

A look at the charts supports the possibility of an upcoming breakout for Ethereum. On the 1-hour chart, Ethereum is trading between a resistance level of $3395.1 and a support level of $3216.2.

Ethereum price — **Source: TradingView**

If the positive factors surrounding ETH lead to a rally through the $3395.1 resistance, Ethereum’s price could climb to $4000 in the short term. Conversely, if bearish momentum pushes Ethereum below the $3216.2 support, a drop to $3000 could be on the horizon.

Whale Activity and Investor Confidence

One of the key indicators of market confidence is the activity of large investors. There has been a noticeable increase in whale activity, with significant purchases on major exchanges. This activity is often a precursor to substantial price movements, as whales typically accumulate assets anticipating a price rise. The recent whale purchases of Ethereum suggest strong confidence in its potential for a bullish breakout.

Macroeconomic Factors Favor an ETH Rally

The broader macroeconomic environment favors a potential rally for Ethereum. The consensus among analysts is that the US Federal Reserve will hold interest rates steady in the near term before implementing a rate cut in September. Historically, interest rate cuts tend to drive asset prices higher, as lower borrowing costs spur investment. Given Ethereum’s resilience in a year marked by high interest rates, a rate cut could further boost its price.

A Recap on Ethereum Price

Ethereum’s price stability amid minimal market movement sets the stage for a potential breakout. With internal solid fundamentals, positive ETF inflows, and the influence of Bitcoin’s price action, the odds favor an upward movement for Ethereum. Technical analysis indicates that breaking through the $3395.1 resistance could propel Ethereum toward the $4000 mark. Additionally, increasing whale activity and favorable macroeconomic conditions further support the likelihood of a bullish breakout.