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Tokenization Risks Minimal Due to Limited Use, Says FSB Report

Highlights:

  • Tokenization’s limited adoption keeps risks low but could rise if use expands.
  • FSB warns of liquidity and leverage issues as key risks in tokenized finance.
  • Clearer regulations are needed to address tokenization’s legal and operational risks.

The Financial Stability Board (FSB) has published a new report on the risks arising from tokenization in institutional finance. According to the report, tokenization represents currently a very limited threat to the global financial system. The main reason is due to the limited adoption of technology.

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Limited Use Keeps Risk Low

Tokenization has not yet gained widespread use in the financial sector. This keeps the risk low for now. The FSB noted that projects like BlackRock’s BUIDL fund are still in the early stages. Because of this, there are fewer chances of financial instability.

The report highlighted potential issues that may arise with the growth of tokenization. Primary concerns involve imbalances in cash flow timing, high levels of borrowed funds, and vulnerability in day-to-day operations. The risks could increase with the growing presence of tokenized assets, especially when regulatory guidelines are unclear.

Liquidity Mismatches and Leverage Concerns

One of the major concerns is liquidity mismatches. This happens when the timeframes for converting tokenized assets into cash do not align with those of the assets. The FSB warned that these mismatches could lead to redemption risks. This situation could create problems for the broader financial system.

Another concern brought up by the FSB is leverage. Users can borrow tokens due to the nature of smart contracts. Afterward, they have the option to utilize these borrowed tokens as security for additional loans. This method is common in the decentralized finance sector. Too much borrowing can increase the impact of losses, leading to broader disturbances in the market.

Regulatory Uncertainty Slows Adoption

The FSB report pointed out that regulatory uncertainty is a major barrier. Current laws do not completely cover tokenized assets. The absence of clear understanding causes difficulties for companies in implementing the technology. The confusion is increased by the diverse regulations in different jurisdictions. Tokenization struggles to expand without a worldwide standard in place.

The Bank for International Settlements shared similar concerns. It released a report on October 21 warning that tokenization could disrupt central banks’ roles in payments and financial oversight. The report also raised legal questions. For instance, it is unclear whether tokenized financial products like repos would have the same protections as traditional ones.

Tokenization Gains Interest Despite Hurdles

Despite these difficulties, there is a rising interest in tokenization. Big banks such as Barclays, DBS Bank, Citi, and HSBC are currently experimenting with it. The UK’s Regulated Liability Network is also testing tokenized deposits. Programmable payments are also being explored.

The market for tokenized real-world assets is set to grow. Tren Finance estimates that this market could reach $4 trillion to $30 trillion by 2030. Even a middle estimate of $10 trillion would be a huge increase from the current $185 billion. Right now, this market mostly consists of stablecoins.

The FSB and BIS reports agree that tokenization has potential. Mechanisms like delivery-versus-payment can reduce risks. Payment-versus-payment could also improve settlement processes. However, these benefits do not come without costs. Both reports stress that there are still many challenges. They say that efficiency gains will need big investments. Coordination between regulators and companies is also essential.

The FSB believes that with proper regulation, tokenization can safely expand. Clearer rules will make it easier for companies to adopt the technology. This would help them avoid the current legal and operational risks. The BIS also emphasized that policymakers need to find a balance. They must ensure financial stability without stifling innovation.

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