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bitcoin
Bitcoin (BITCOIN)
$96,421 -5.56%
ethereum
Ethereum (ETHEREUM)
$3,201 -6.42%
binancecoin
BNB (BINANCECOIN)
$924.49 -3.48%
solana
Solana (SOLANA)
$141.47 -7.73%
ripple
XRP (RIPPLE)
$2.30 -7.10%
shiba-inu
Shiba Inu (SHIBA-INU)
$0.000009 -4.95%
pepe
Pepe (PEPE)
$0.000005 -10.98%
bonk
Bonk (BONK)
$0.000011 -7.40%
bitcoin
Bitcoin (BITCOIN)
$96,421 -5.56%
ethereum
Ethereum (ETHEREUM)
$3,201 -6.42%
binancecoin
BNB (BINANCECOIN)
$924.49 -3.48%
solana
Solana (SOLANA)
$141.47 -7.73%
ripple
XRP (RIPPLE)
$2.30 -7.10%
shiba-inu
Shiba Inu (SHIBA-INU)
$0.000009 -4.95%
pepe
Pepe (PEPE)
$0.000005 -10.98%
bonk
Bonk (BONK)
$0.000011 -7.40%
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Ethereum Price Forecast: Why ETH Could Drop to $2500 Soon

Highlights:

  • Ethereum is trending towards $3000 psychological support level
  • A drop below $3000 could send ETH to $2500
  • White House remarks on Federal data being lost could push Ether lower 

Ethereum (ETH) is in the red today, mirroring the correction across the cryptocurrency market. At the time of writing, Ethereum was trading at $3136.55, down by 10.68% in the day. While the price is dropping, Ethereum’s trading volumes are on the rise. 

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When going to press, Ethereum trading volumes were up by 36.24% to stand at $52.69 billion. Surging volumes when Ethereum’s price is going down are an indicator that holders are exiting their positions. If the selloff intensifies, then Ethereum could be headed even lower in the short term. Multiple factors support a continuation of the correction in the short term.

Broader Market Correction Signals ETH Could Drop to $2500

One of them is the fact that the broader market is headed lower. Ethereum, like all altcoins, trades in the overall direction of Bitcoin. Bitcoin is currently bearish, having dropped below $100k and with no significant support close by. This points to a scenario where Bitcoin could be headed lower, potentially to $90k. The result is that Ethereum could continue to drop to prices below $3000 in the short term. The rising volumes already point to growing fear, especially now that Ethereum is trading around the $3000 support zone.

Upcoming Ethereum Options Expiry Worsening The Selloff

Besides Bitcoin’s price action, Ethereum’s price weakness is also being driven by the options market. More than $5 billion of Ethereum and Bitcoin options have expired today. The expiry of options tends to drive volatility in the cryptocurrency market and often pushes prices lower. This time around, the options are expiring at a time when multiple other factors are pushing the market lower.

As the options’ expiry time draws closer, Ethereum could drop to prices below $3000. Already, the indicators for such a drop are there, with chart momentum increasingly pointing to rising selling pressure. 

White House Statement On Federal Data Could Push Ethereum Lower

Ethereum’s weakness is also being enhanced by weakness in the macro environment. After 40 days of government shutdown, there is uncertainty about what kinds of decisions the Federal Reserve could make on interest rates. There are fears that, even though multiple data streams point to rising inflation, the Fed could retake a hawkish stance.

The post-shutdown trading environment has been worsened by remarks by the white house that the US Federal statistical system may have been permanently damaged. The White House added that at this point, policymakers and the Federal Reserve may be flying blind. This has led to fears that the administration may be trying to hide an extremely weak jobs report for October.

According to a report by Goldman Sachs, the US may have lost 50,000 jobs in October. Such news is likely pushing capital into risk-off mode. Under such circumstances, the cryptocurrency market suffers more due to higher risk compared to traditional assets. The result is that Ethereum could be headed much lower, especially if the $3000 psychological support level fails to hold. 

Technical Analysis – Ethereum Bearish After Failing At Supply Zone

Ethereum has been in an accelerated selloff after failing at the $3519.5 – $3635.1 supply zone. Since then, Ethereum appears to be making lower highs, an indicator that every rebound is being used to sell Ether. If the current trend continues, the key level to watch will be the $3000 psychological support level.

ETH
Source: TradingView

A breach of this level could see ETH drop to $2500 in the short term. On the other hand, if Ethereum rebounds and with substantial volumes, then a rally back to $3500 could follow. Of these two scenarios, a correction to $3000 is more likely. That’s because the uncertainty coming from the US about Federal data could trigger more panic selling across all risk-on asset classes in the short term.

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