Highlights:
- Ethereum is trading between the $2721.20 resistance and $2505.9 support
- A rally through $2721.20 resistance could see Ethereum test $3000 short-term
- Rising bullish sentiment across the market could see ETH test $3000 soon
Ethereum is in the red today, moving in the overall direction of the market intra-day. At the time of going to press, Ethereum was trading at $2633.14, down by 2.77% in the last 24 hours.
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However, unlike Bitcoin, which is experiencing a surge in trading volumes, Ethereum’s trading volumes are in decline. They currently stand at $16.57 billion, down by 13.15$% in the day. This all points to the overall low investor interest in Ethereum, as it continues to face competition from new, shinier layer ones. That said, Ethereum could still rally, especially if there is a significant increase in bullish momentum across the market.
Technical Analysis – Ethereum Price Consolidating After Failure at Key Resistance
From the charts, the data shows that Ethereum sends bearish signals intra-day. This is after Ethereum bulls failed at the $2721.20 multi-month resistance on October 20. It could be an indicator that despite bulls’ attempts to take control of the market, they remain weak, at least in the short term.
If bears take control, the key level to watch would be the $2505.9 support. A breach of the $2505.9 support could see Ethereum drop to around $2391.1 in the short term.
On the other hand, if bulls take control and push Ethereum’s price through the $2721.20 resistance, then Ethereum could easily test $2929.7 in the short term. A rally through $2929.7 could see Ethereum rally to $3539.4 in the short term.
However, if volumes drop across the market, Ethereum could consolidate between the $2721.20 resistance and $2504.9 support in the short term. Of these scenarios, the odds are higher that Ethereum will either consolidate or there could be a bull rally that pushes it to $3k or higher in the short term with little risk of a major downside.
Several factors support either an upside move or consolidation for Ethereum. One is the fact that despite the intra-day correction, the broader market is overall bullish. Bitcoin, the key market determinant continues to register positive signals on social media, and strong inflows from institutional money.
This means it could be headed higher, and a rising Bitcoin usually uplifts the rest of the market with it. In essence, if Bitcoin rallies through $69k a second time in the week, Ethereum and other altcoins could rally along with it.
Ethereum Set for More Technical Improvements
Besides Bitcoin, Ethereum is boosted by a recent announcement by Vitalik Buterin on a plan to enhance Ethereum’s scalability. He also touched on a plan to make Ethereum more decentralized by reducing staking requirements from 32 to 1 Ether.
Possible futures of the Ethereum protocol, part 3: The Scourgehttps://t.co/mtzH1ZxTak
(I tried my best to be fair to all sides of the debates here!)
— vitalik.eth (@VitalikButerin) October 20, 2024
This is a big deal as it points to the progressive nature of Ethereum despite the rise of newer L1s. It is a factor that could reignite demand for Ethereum, especially because it appears undervalued, after lagging the market for close to a year.
Institutional Interest in Ethereum on the Rise
Ethereum is also seeing an uptick in institutional inflows through ETFs. While Ethereum ETF inflows are incomparable to Bitcoin’s they still point to the fact that institutions have strong confidence in Ethereum as an investment long term.
Compared to the Bitcoin ETFs, Ethereum has been underwhelming.
However, the more than $300M in inflows to Bitwise's $ETHW makes it one of the fastest-growing ETFs of all time.
Nevertheless, @Matt_Hougan explains some of the reasons behind that relative underperformance.
Links… pic.twitter.com/4gyUHAIwg0
— On The Margin (@OnTheMarginPod) October 21, 2024
As inflows into Ethereum ETFs continue to rise, retail money could FOMO in expectation of a whale-triggered rally. This could see Ethereum rally to $3000 or higher in the very short term.
Recap – Ethereum Price Correction Likely Short-Lived
Overall, Ethereum may be in a correction, but the odds are that it will either enter a new consolidation phase or could soon experience a bullish reversal. Several factors, such as rising bullish sentiment around Bitcoin and news of more upcoming upgrades to the Ethereum network, could boost sentiment around the number two cryptocurrency in the short term. The key level to watch now is the 2721.20 resistance, which, if broken, could see Ethereum rally to $3000 or higher in the short term.
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