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Bitcoin Price Analysis: BTC Faces Bearish Pressure, What Next for the Alt?

Bitcoin price has dropped below $57,000 today, continuing its downward spiral amid market-wide losses. Other leading altcoins, including Ethereum (ETH), Dogecoin (DOGE), and Solana (SOL), also stagger in the red zone. The Market Fear & Greed Index has notably slid to an extreme fear.

Source: Crypto Fear and Greed Index

Nonetheless, Mister Crypto, a well-known trader and investor, has mentioned via the X platform that he is 99% sure that in a few months, BTC will be trading at higher price levels. He has also added that, ”The Bitcoin market sentiment is now extreme fear. That’s why I’m buying.”

Data from Coinglass shows that the pioneering cryptocurrency (BTC) price is upholding a bearish picture. Bitcoin’s Long/Short Ratio has plunged to 0.98, slightly below 1. This ratio is a barometer of investor expectations. This suggests that the average open position is bearish as more traders anticipate the price of the asset to fall.

Source: Coinglass

Bitcoin Statistical Data

Based on CoinmarketCap data:

  • BTC price now – $56,681
  • BTC trading volume – $31 billion
  • BTC market cap – $1.11 trillion
  • BTC total supply – 19 million
  • BTC circulating supply – 19 million 
  • BTC ranking – #1

Bitcoin Price Faces Bearish Pressure Below $58K

The Bitcoin price is still staggering below the $58,000 resistance, as it is having a hard time exciting the red zone. Bitcoin (BTC/USD) trades within a descending channel on the 4-hour chart, indicating a bearish outlook in the near term. The price faced rejection at the upper boundary of the channel near $58,000, which also aligns with the 50-day SMA at $58,484, reinforcing selling pressure.

Meanwhile, the technical outlook upholds a bearish picture, tilting the odds in favor of the bears. The BTC price trades below the 50-day and 200-day Simple Moving Averages (SMAs), signaling increased selling pressure. In this case, the bulls must first bring down the $58,484 and $59,491 resistance zones, which cushions them against upward movement. 

Bitcoin price
BTC/USD 4-hour chart: TradingView

On the other hand, the Relative Strength Index(RSI) suggests intense bearish momentum, as it sits below the 50-mean level. Currently, it roams around the 37 mark, showing dwindling buyer sentiment with potential for further downside unless a reversal happens soon.

Source: TradingView

The MACD notably worsens the outlook as it upholds a bearish outlook. This is manifested as the MACD indicator in blue has jumped below the Signal line in orange, calling for a sell signal. As the momentum indicator gradually ascends above the mean line (0.00) into the positive region, the path with the least resistance stays on the upside. Moreover, traders are inclined to sell BTC unless the MACD changes.

Bitcoin Price Outlook

In the 4-hour chart above, the sellers have control of the market, intensifying the bearish thesis. If the significant support level at $55,600, with a key support zone around $55,000 breaks, BTC could drop. A break below this could drive Bitcoin toward the $51,417 level. On the upside, Bitcoin’s price needs to break above the descending channel, and the resistance at $58,000 needs to shift the tone towards a bullish sentiment.