Highlights:
- Ethereum is showing signs of recovery after a correction earlier in the day
- Ethereum is currently trending toward the $3216.2 resistance
- A breach of the $3216.2 resistance could see Ethereum retest $3300
Ethereum is experiencing a slight downturn today, reflecting the broader market sentiment. At the time of going to press, Ethereum’s price had dropped by 4.63%, bringing its value to $3171.22. This recent price action seems less about Ethereum’s core fundamentals and more influenced by Bitcoin’s market behavior.
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Bitcoin Could Impact Ethereum’s Price
Bitcoin is currently undergoing a multi-month consolidation phase between $60,000 and $70,000. After a brief rally to $70,000 on July 29, Bitcoin has since lost momentum and is now trading at $64,000. This correction has exerted downward pressure on Ethereum and other altcoins.
Ethereum Technical Analysis – ETH Loses Critical Support
At the start of the week, Ethereum was rangebound between $3395.1 resistance and $3216.2 support. However, today’s bearish market sentiment has seen Ethereum lose the $3216.2 support level. If the current bearish trend persists, the next critical support level to watch is $3128.1. A break below this could see Ethereum drop to as low as $3000 in the short term.
Conversely, should the bulls regain control, the critical resistance level to watch would be $3216.2. Successfully breaching this resistance could enable Ethereum to rally towards the weekly resistance at $3395.1.
Potential for a Rebound
Despite the current market downturn, several factors suggest that Ethereum’s price could rebound above the $3216.2 resistance level. Firstly, Bitcoin has found solid support at $64,000 and shows signs of a slow rebound. As Bitcoin stabilizes, it could uplift the broader market, including Ethereum.
Institutional demand for Ethereum is also on the rise. This is evident from the significant inflows into Ethereum ETFs. Yesterday, Ethereum ETFs saw net inflows of $33.7 million, with the BlackRock ETF alone recording inflows of $118 million. These inflows suggest growing institutional interest and could soon be reflected in Ethereum’s price.
#Ethereum ETFs had a net inflow of $33,700,000.
BlackRock bought $118,000,000 $ETH.
ETH is just getting started, my bags are ready 🚀 pic.twitter.com/OofFXPuLf7
— Ted (@TedPillows) July 31, 2024
Whale Activity on the Rise
Additionally, there is a rising number of limited buy orders for altcoins. This trend could trigger a price pump, potentially pushing Ethereum’s price higher in the short term. Ki Young Ju of CryptoQuant recently tweeted about this phenomenon, noting that whales are preparing for the next altcoin rally.
Ju said:
“Limit buy order volume for altcoins, excluding #Bitcoin and #Ethereum, is increasing, indicating that strong buy walls are being set up. On exchanges, market orders create ‘taker volume,’ while limit orders create ‘quote volume.’ Whales and institutions, like market makers and brokerages, usually use limit orders for large trades to avoid slippage.”
He highlighted that this indicator is calculated by taking the cumulative sum of the difference between buy and sell quote volumes using a 1-year moving window. An increasing trend in this indicator suggests bigger buy walls are being set up. Despite the market correction in the last 24 hours, the sentiment remains bullish.
Ethereum At Lowest Point in Terms of Market Interest
Galaxy Trading holds similar views. According to Galaxy Trading, a respected voice in the crypto community, Ethereum’s price is currently at a low point in terms of market interest and fundamental performance. Reflecting on the end of 2020, Galaxy Trading recalls a similar period when Ethereum was overshadowed by Bitcoin, leading to widespread disinterest and skepticism about its potential.
I think #Ethereum is at its lowest point in terms of interest and fundamentals.
I remember the end of 2020, when many people hated $ETH for doing absolutely nothing compared to $BTC . Then, suddenly, people became ETH maxis at the top.
A similar thing is happening now.… pic.twitter.com/g5w1hGq2GA
— GalaxyTrading (@GalaxyTrading_) July 31, 2024
However, this sentiment quickly reversed as Ethereum surged, transforming many doubters into staunch advocates. Galaxy Trading suggests that a similar shift is on the horizon, predicting that interest in Ethereum will soon reignite. As a result, users may find themselves paying high fees, between $100 and $200, on platforms like Metamask, echoing past market cycles.
Broader Economic Outlook
The broader economic outlook also supports a potential rebound for Ethereum price. There is growing consensus that there could be a rate cut in September. If this happens, all asset classes, including cryptocurrencies, could experience a surge in anticipation of the rate cuts. Lower interest rates generally lead to increased liquidity in financial markets, often driving up asset prices.
A Recap on Ethereum Price
While Ethereum is experiencing a price drop in line with the broader market, several factors could support a near-term rebound. Bitcoin’s stabilization at $64,000, rising institutional interest, increased limit buy orders from whales, and potential economic policy shifts all point towards a possible recovery for Ethereum. Investors will closely monitor the $3128.1 support and $3216.2 resistance levels to gauge the next significant moves in Ethereum’s price.
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